Cardinals at Rams
Sunday 16:05 ET · SoFi Stadium. Our sims, both teams' usage, red-zone looks and the TD board, rebuilt every refresh.
Updated
88%Rams win chance
LAR -12.3sim spread
51.4sim total
19.2 · 32.6ARI · LAR team totals
Most likely props at the main line
How often each prop hits across 10,000 sims, with the fair price. A high hit rate isn't an edge on its own: compare the fair price to your book's before you bet.
| Player | Prop | Our sims | Fair price | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Allen LAR | receptions Over 0.5 | 63.5% | -174 | market |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI | receptions Over 1.5 | 60.5% | -153 | our odds |
| Reggie Virgil ARI | receptions Over 1.5 | 60.3% | -152 | our odds |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI | receptions Over 2.5 | 60.0% | -150 | market |
| Tyler Higbee LAR | receptions Over 2.5 | 58.5% | -141 | market |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI | passing yds Over 224.5 | 57.5% | -135 | market |
| Kyren Williams LAR | receptions Over 2.5 | 56.5% | -130 | market |
| Tyler Higbee LAR | receiving yds Over 29.5 | 56.5% | -130 | market |
Anytime TD board
| Player | Scores in our sims | Fair price | Team's first TD (this season) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams LAR | 64.5% | -182 | 1 |
| Puka Nacua LAR | 57.5% | -135 | 1 |
| Davante Adams LAR | 52.5% | -111 | 2 |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI | 39.5% | +153 | 0 |
| Blake Corum LAR | 37.5% | +167 | 0 |
| Trey McBride ARI | 37.5% | +167 | 1 |
| Michael Wilson ARI | 30.5% | +228 | 1 |
| Tyler Higbee LAR | 25.5% | +292 | 1 |
| Colby Parkinson LAR | 16.5% | +506 | 0 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI | 15.5% | +544 | 1 |
ARI · 5 games
Cardinals usage
Offense and defense ranks
- Points scored / game21.6 #23
- Pass yds / game223.4 #19
- Rush yds / game91.6 #23
- Points allowed / game32.4 #32
- Pass yds allowed / game252.4 #24
- Rush yds allowed / game126.6 #23
Red-zone looks (inside the 20)
- Jeremiyah Love11 carries · 3 targets
- Trey McBride0 carries · 11 targets
- Michael Wilson0 carries · 9 targets
- Tyler Allgeier7 carries · 2 targets
- Jacoby Brissett4 carries · 1 target
Scored the team's first TD
- Jeremiyah Love1
- Trey McBride1
- Michael Wilson1
- Marvin Harrison Jr.1
QB
| Player | Games | Pass yds/g | Pass TD/g | Att/g | Comp % | Rush yds/g | RZ att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | 5 | 222.0 | 1.80 | 39.8 | 66.3 | 12.4 | 38 |
RB
| Player | Games | Carries/g | Rush yds/g | Targets/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ carry share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiyah Love | 5 | 13.4 | 49.0 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 2 | 50% |
| Tyler Allgeier | 5 | 7.0 | 23.8 | 2.4 | 8.8 | 1 | 32% |
| Bam Knight | 2 | 1.5 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0% |
WR
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wilson | 5 | 10.2 | 26% | 5.8 | 57.6 | 1 | 24% |
| Kendrick Bourne | 4 | 5.5 | 14% | 4.2 | 44.5 | 0 | 11% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | 4 | 3.2 | 8% | 1.2 | 21.2 | 1 | 5% |
| Jalen Brooks | 4 | 2.0 | 4% | 0.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 5% |
TE
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride | 5 | 11.2 | 30% | 8.4 | 61.6 | 3 | 29% |
| Elijah Higgins | 4 | 2.0 | 5% | 2.0 | 24.0 | 1 | 3% |
LAR · 5 games
Rams usage
Offense and defense ranks
- Points scored / game23.8 #13
- Pass yds / game317.0 #1
- Rush yds / game116.8 #12
- Points allowed / game24.0 #20
- Pass yds allowed / game165.0 #2
- Rush yds allowed / game128.4 #26
Red-zone looks (inside the 20)
- Kyren Williams17 carries · 4 targets
- Davante Adams0 carries · 7 targets
- Puka Nacua2 carries · 4 targets
- Matthew Stafford5 carries · 0 targets
- Blake Corum1 carry · 2 targets
Scored the team's first TD
- Davante Adams2
- Kyren Williams1
- Tyler Higbee1
- Puka Nacua1
QB
| Player | Games | Pass yds/g | Pass TD/g | Att/g | Comp % | Rush yds/g | RZ att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 5 | 314.4 | 1.80 | 43.2 | 64.4 | 4.2 | 29 |
RB
| Player | Games | Carries/g | Rush yds/g | Targets/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ carry share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams | 5 | 14.0 | 68.6 | 6.6 | 40.0 | 5 | 63% |
| Blake Corum | 5 | 7.6 | 36.2 | 2.2 | 14.6 | 1 | 4% |
| Ronnie Rivers | 1 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 7% |
WR
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 5 | 9.0 | 23% | 5.4 | 88.2 | 4 | 28% |
| Puka Nacua | 3 | 15.0 | 34% | 10.3 | 112.3 | 2 | 16% |
| Konata Mumpfield | 4 | 3.5 | 8% | 1.5 | 28.0 | 1 | 4% |
| Tutu Atwell | 3 | 1.3 | 4% | 1.0 | 10.3 | 0 | 0% |
TE
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Higbee | 4 | 6.2 | 13% | 5.0 | 56.0 | 1 | 8% |
| Terrance Ferguson | 3 | 4.0 | 13% | 2.3 | 21.0 | 1 | 4% |
Cardinals vs Rams: quick answers
Who will win Cardinals vs Rams?
Our sims have the Rams winning 88% of 10,000 runs. That's a chance, not a guarantee.
What's the projected total for Cardinals at Rams?
The sims put the total at 51.4 points, with Cardinals around 19.2 and Rams around 32.6.
Who's most likely to score a TD in Cardinals vs Rams?
Kyren Williams scores in 64% of our sims, the highest in this game.
Usage, red-zone and first-TD numbers come from nflverse play-by-play (CC-BY 4.0) for 2026 games already played. Win chances, lines and prop odds come from our 10,000-game sims built on Kalshi's public prices. For entertainment and analysis only. 21+.