Panthers at Eagles
Sunday 13:00 ET · Lincoln Financial Field. Our sims, both teams' usage, red-zone looks and the TD board, rebuilt every refresh.
Updated
61%Panthers win chance
PHI +3.1sim spread
39.1sim total
20.9 · 17.2CAR · PHI team totals
Most likely props at the main line
How often each prop hits across 10,000 sims, with the fair price. A high hit rate isn't an edge on its own: compare the fair price to your book's before you bet.
| Player | Prop | Our sims | Fair price | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner McKee PHI | passing TDs Over 0.5 | 65.5% | -190 | market |
| Tanner McKee PHI | pass attempts Over 29.5 | 64.0% | -178 | market |
| Tanner McKee PHI | completions Over 17.5 | 61.0% | -156 | market |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR | receptions Over 4.5 | 58.0% | -138 | market |
| Bryce Young CAR | passing yds Over 224.5 | 56.5% | -130 | market |
| Tanner McKee PHI | interceptions Over 0.5 | 56.5% | -130 | market |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI | receiving yds Over 24.5 | 56.5% | -130 | market |
| Makai Lemon PHI | receiving yds Over 14.5 | 56.5% | -130 | market |
Anytime TD board
| Player | Scores in our sims | Fair price | Team's first TD (this season) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard CAR | 49.5% | +102 | 3 |
| Dameon Pierce PHI | 34.5% | +190 | 0 |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR | 31.5% | +217 | 0 |
| DeVonta Smith PHI | 25.5% | +292 | 0 |
| Jalen Coker CAR | 25.5% | +292 | 0 |
| Dallas Goedert PHI | 23.5% | +326 | 1 |
| Darren Waller CAR | 20.5% | +388 | 0 |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI | 16.5% | +506 | 0 |
| Bryce Young CAR | 14.5% | +590 | 0 |
| Makai Lemon PHI | 10.5% | +852 | 0 |
CAR · 4 games
Panthers usage
Offense and defense ranks
- Points scored / game30.2 #4
- Pass yds / game317.0 #2
- Rush yds / game104.5 #18
- Points allowed / game27.2 #26
- Pass yds allowed / game242.5 #21
- Rush yds allowed / game156.5 #31
Red-zone looks (inside the 20)
- Chuba Hubbard10 carries · 2 targets
- Tetairoa McMillan0 carries · 6 targets
- Jalen Coker0 carries · 5 targets
- Jonathon Brooks3 carries · 1 target
- Darren Waller0 carries · 4 targets
Scored the team's first TD
- Chuba Hubbard3
- John Metchie III1
QB
| Player | Games | Pass yds/g | Pass TD/g | Att/g | Comp % | Rush yds/g | RZ att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young | 4 | 317.0 | 2.25 | 40.5 | 62.3 | 4.8 | 29 |
RB
| Player | Games | Carries/g | Rush yds/g | Targets/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ carry share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard | 4 | 15.2 | 76.5 | 2.8 | 21.0 | 5 | 59% |
| AJ Dillon | 4 | 4.2 | 10.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0 | 6% |
| Jonathon Brooks | 2 | 4.5 | 15.0 | 1.5 | 21.5 | 0 | 18% |
WR
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan | 4 | 9.8 | 27% | 6.5 | 96.2 | 2 | 25% |
| Jalen Coker | 3 | 7.3 | 21% | 6.0 | 74.0 | 2 | 21% |
| John Metchie III | 3 | 3.3 | 8% | 1.7 | 18.7 | 1 | 4% |
| Brycen Tremayne | 4 | 2.2 | 5% | 1.5 | 28.8 | 0 | 0% |
TE
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Waller | 4 | 4.8 | 12% | 3.2 | 37.0 | 2 | 17% |
| Tommy Tremble | 4 | 3.8 | 10% | 2.8 | 20.5 | 0 | 4% |
PHI · 5 games
Eagles usage
Offense and defense ranks
- Points scored / game18.4 #29
- Pass yds / game186.6 #29
- Rush yds / game91.6 #24
- Points allowed / game22.4 #18
- Pass yds allowed / game248.4 #23
- Rush yds allowed / game118.0 #20
Red-zone looks (inside the 20)
- Will Shipley9 carries · 0 targets
- Jalen Hurts7 carries · 0 targets
- Tank Bigsby5 carries · 0 targets
- Saquon Barkley5 carries · 0 targets
- Darius Cooper0 carries · 4 targets
Scored the team's first TD
- Dallas Goedert1
- Tank Bigsby1
- Jalen Hurts1
- Darius Cooper1
QB
| Player | Games | Pass yds/g | Pass TD/g | Att/g | Comp % | Rush yds/g | RZ att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 5 | 186.6 | 1.60 | 30.8 | 57.8 | 21.4 | 14 |
RB
| Player | Games | Carries/g | Rush yds/g | Targets/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ carry share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | 4 | 9.0 | 45.5 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0 | 19% |
| Tank Bigsby | 4 | 7.0 | 22.8 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1 | 19% |
| Will Shipley | 5 | 4.0 | 11.4 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 1 | 35% |
WR
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontayvion Wicks | 5 | 5.6 | 19% | 3.4 | 52.0 | 1 | 29% |
| DeVonta Smith | 3 | 9.0 | 33% | 6.3 | 78.3 | 1 | 14% |
| Makai Lemon | 5 | 4.4 | 16% | 3.0 | 21.6 | 0 | 0% |
| Darius Cooper | 5 | 2.6 | 9% | 1.4 | 26.0 | 4 | 29% |
TE
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Goedert | 3 | 5.3 | 18% | 3.7 | 39.7 | 2 | 14% |
| Zach Ertz | 3 | 2.7 | 10% | 1.0 | 7.3 | 0 | 7% |
Panthers vs Eagles: quick answers
Who will win Panthers vs Eagles?
Our sims have the Panthers winning 61% of 10,000 runs. That's a chance, not a guarantee.
What's the projected total for Panthers at Eagles?
The sims put the total at 39.1 points, with Panthers around 20.9 and Eagles around 17.2.
Who's most likely to score a TD in Panthers vs Eagles?
Chuba Hubbard scores in 50% of our sims, the highest in this game.
Usage, red-zone and first-TD numbers come from nflverse play-by-play (CC-BY 4.0) for 2026 games already played. Win chances, lines and prop odds come from our 10,000-game sims built on Kalshi's public prices. For entertainment and analysis only. 21+.